Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.117213 0.130781 0.144676 0.159929 0.176163 0.192888 0.211382
2024-10-27 0.098325 0.116819 0.136472 0.158779 0.183269 0.209214 0.238657
2024-11-03 0.085676 0.107692 0.131861 0.160082 0.191858 0.226275 0.266122
2024-11-10 0.077189 0.102148 0.130359 0.164116 0.202944 0.245772 0.296158
2024-11-17 0.067863 0.094668 0.125865 0.164101 0.208978 0.259324 0.319426
2024-11-24 0.060911 0.089322 0.123303 0.165859 0.216707 0.274592 0.344558
2024-12-01 0.054707 0.084301 0.120650 0.167114 0.223559 0.288676 0.368270
2024-12-08 0.048810 0.079123 0.117363 0.167231 0.228781 0.300682 0.389484
2024-12-15 0.044058 0.075014 0.115067 0.168280 0.234912 0.313628 0.411742
2024-12-22 0.039145 0.070238 0.111556 0.167502 0.238577 0.323480 0.430257
2024-12-29 0.036346 0.068169 0.111404 0.170855 0.247259 0.339327 0.455926
2025-01-05 0.033048 0.065081 0.109656 0.171957 0.252992 0.351522 0.477196
2025-01-12 0.029459 0.061408 0.107099 0.172136 0.257852 0.363095 0.498361
2025-01-19 0.025810 0.057279 0.103634 0.170890 0.260745 0.372169 0.516486
2025-01-26 0.023283 0.054687 0.102177 0.172226 0.266903 0.385285 0.539598
2025-02-02 0.021766 0.053621 0.102845 0.176431 0.276806 0.403138 0.568640
2025-02-09 0.019327 0.050708 0.100579 0.176402 0.281022 0.413767 0.588741
2025-02-16 0.017565 0.048803 0.099702 0.178234 0.287662 0.427464 0.612693
2025-02-23 0.015854 0.046796 0.098529 0.179541 0.293537 0.440164 0.635421
2025-03-02 0.014068 0.044421 0.096617 0.179660 0.297721 0.450649 0.655365
2025-03-09 0.012640 0.042579 0.095435 0.180755 0.303183 0.462769 0.677391
2025-03-16 0.011018 0.040102 0.093051 0.179939 0.305923 0.471296 0.694842
2025-03-23 0.010254 0.039393 0.093565 0.183446 0.314666 0.487703 0.722388